Election markets from around the world, ranked by trading volume: US presidential and midterm races, party primaries, European and Asian parliamentary elections, and leadership contests.
Each candidate trades as a separate share between 1¢ and 99¢, so the table doubles as a live probability ranking of the field. Open any market for the full price history and to see which wallets are on each side.
Each outcome trades as a share priced between 1¢ and 99¢, and the price is the market's implied probability. A share at 40¢ means traders collectively give that outcome a 40% chance; if it happens, the share pays $1.00.
Are Polymarket Elections odds accurate?
They reflect real money at risk rather than opinion, which historically makes them well calibrated — but they are a live forecast, not a guarantee, and thin markets can be moved by a single large trader. Check the volume column before trusting a price.
How often do these odds update?
Continuously. Prices come straight from Polymarket's public API and refresh as trades happen, with roughly 30 seconds of edge caching.