Xavier Becerra leads at 93% across 23 outcomes, with $40.5M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for California Governor Election Winner?
Current odds: Xavier Becerra 93%, Steve Hilton 7%, Rick Caruso 0%, Alex Padilla 0%, Katie Porter 0%, Antonio Villaraigosa 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in California Governor Election Winner?
Xavier Becerra is the market favorite at 93%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $40.5M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on California Governor Election Winner?
$40.5M has been traded on this market in total, including $8K in the last 24 hours, with $6.2M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does California Governor Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does California Governor Election Winner resolve?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Where can I bet on California Governor Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.