Gavin Newsom leads at 18% across 51 outcomes, with $1.3B traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
Current odds: Gavin Newsom 18%, Jon Ossoff 15%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14%, Kamala Harris 9%, Pete Buttigieg 5%, Josh Shapiro 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
Gavin Newsom is the market favorite at 18%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.3B through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
$1.3B has been traded on this market in total, including $393K in the last 24 hours, with $78.2M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Where can I bet on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.