Polymarket Guides, Strategy & Analysis

Evergreen guides to how Polymarket works: reading prediction-market odds, holding-rewards strategy, the CLOB V2 migration, and the patterns behind the top wallets on the leaderboard.

• What is Polymarket? A Complete Guide to the Largest Prediction Market

  Prediction markets let you trade YES/NO shares on real-world events. Here is how Polymarket works, why prices reflect probabilities, and how to start trading.

  Guide · 7 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• How to Read Prediction Market Odds: From Cents to Probabilities

  Every Polymarket price is also a probability. Here is the cheat sheet for converting cents to percent, calculating expected return, and spotting edge.

  Guide · 6 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• CLOB V2 and pUSD: What Changed on Polymarket

  New exchange contracts, a rewritten order-book backend, and pUSD as the collateral token. A reference on what the V2 upgrade changed and what it did not.

  Update · 4 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• Polymarket Holding Rewards: The Complete 3.25% APY Guide

  Polymarket pays 3.25% APY on qualifying positions. Stack it on top of 99%+ bet discounts and you can clear 9.25%+ on near-certain outcomes. Here is the playbook.

  Strategy · 5 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• Top Polymarket Whale Strategies: 5 Patterns From the Leaderboard

  We analyzed the top 100 wallets on Polymarket. Here are the 5 strategies that show up over and over - and how to spot them on the leaderboard.

  Strategy · 5 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• Polymarket Fees Explained: What You Actually Pay in 2026

  Polymarket has no deposit or withdrawal fee, but crypto and sports markets now charge takers. Here is the full breakdown of what a trade actually costs.

  Reference · 5 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• Polymarket vs Kalshi: How the Two Prediction Markets Differ

  Both let you trade event contracts, but they are built on completely different foundations - one CFTC-regulated and dollar-based, the other crypto-native and global.

  Guide · 4 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• How to Deposit and Withdraw on Polymarket

  Polymarket runs on pUSD collateral and a bridge that reaches Ethereum, Solana and Bitcoin. Here is how money gets in and out, and where it usually gets stuck.

  Guide · 4 min read · updated 2026-07-25

• Are Prediction Markets Accurate? What the Record Actually Shows

  Prediction markets have a good but not spotless record. Here is what calibration means, where markets beat polls, and the specific conditions under which they fail.

  Guide · 4 min read · updated 2026-07-27

• Polymarket API Guide: How to Get Prediction Market Data

  Gamma, CLOB and the data API each serve a different slice of Polymarket. Here is which one to call for markets, prices, positions and leaderboards - and how not to get rate limited.

  Reference · 4 min read · updated 2026-07-27

• Polymarket for Sports: How Prediction Markets Differ From a Sportsbook

  A sportsbook price includes the house margin. A market price does not. Here is what actually changes when you trade a game instead of betting it.

  Guide · 4 min read · updated 2026-07-27