Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads at 49% across 43 outcomes, with $681.7M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%49¢
J.D. Vance43%43¢$14.7M
Marco Rubio27%27¢$10.0M
Ron DeSantis3%$15.1M
Donald Trump2%$9.3M
Tucker Carlson2%$12.0M
Tulsi Gabbard1%$13.6M
Glenn Youngkin1%$8.5M
Donald Trump Jr.1%$9.4M
Vivek Ramaswamy1%$16.0M
Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%$32.5M
Greg Abbott1%$20.6M
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1%$16.8M
Brian Kemp1%$17.5M
Byron Donalds1%$44.4M

28 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
Current odds: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49%, J.D. Vance 43%, Marco Rubio 27%, Ron DeSantis 3%, Donald Trump 2%, Tucker Carlson 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the market favorite at 49%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $681.7M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
$681.7M has been traded on this market in total, including $211K in the last 24 hours, with $55.0M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Where can I bet on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related us election markets

All US Election markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.