J.D. Vance leads at 50% across 43 outcomes, with $702.2M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
Current odds: J.D. Vance 50%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49%, Marco Rubio 17%, Tucker Carlson 4%, Donald Trump 2%, Donald Trump Jr. 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
J.D. Vance is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $702.2M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
$702.2M has been traded on this market in total, including $711K in the last 24 hours, with $54.3M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Where can I bet on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.