Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an leads at 65% across 30 outcomes, with $2.0M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Chiang Wan-an65%65¢$892K
Candidate A50%50¢
Candidate B50%50¢
Candidate C50%50¢
Candidate D50%50¢
Candidate E50%50¢
Candidate F50%50¢
Candidate G50%50¢
Candidate H50%50¢
Candidate I50%50¢
Candidate J50%50¢
Candidate K50%50¢
Candidate L50%50¢
Candidate M50%50¢
Candidate N50%50¢

15 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Taipei Mayor Election Winner?
Current odds: Chiang Wan-an 65%, Candidate A 50%, Candidate B 50%, Candidate C 50%, Candidate D 50%, Candidate E 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Taipei Mayor Election Winner?
Chiang Wan-an is the market favorite at 65%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.0M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Taipei Mayor Election Winner?
$2.0M has been traded on this market in total, including $82K in the last 24 hours, with $356K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Taipei Mayor Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 29, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Taipei Mayor Election Winner resolve?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Centra
Where can I bet on Taipei Mayor Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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