Every Bitcoin market on Polymarket, from short-dated up/down contracts to year-end price targets, ranked by volume.
Read the price as a probability: a share at 18¢ means the market gives that target an 18% chance. Short-dated crypto markets are among the most actively traded on the platform.
Each outcome trades as a share priced between 1¢ and 99¢, and the price is the market's implied probability. A share at 40¢ means traders collectively give that outcome a 40% chance; if it happens, the share pays $1.00.
Are Polymarket Bitcoin odds accurate?
They reflect real money at risk rather than opinion, which historically makes them well calibrated — but they are a live forecast, not a guarantee, and thin markets can be moved by a single large trader. Check the volume column before trusting a price.
How often do these odds update?
Continuously. Prices come straight from Polymarket's public API and refresh as trades happen, with roughly 30 seconds of edge caching.