Marine Le Pen leads at 34% across 41 outcomes, with $131.2M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next French Presidential Election?
Current odds: Marine Le Pen 34%, Édouard Philippe 30%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%, David Lisnard 6%, François Hollande 3%, Jordan Bardella 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next French Presidential Election?
Marine Le Pen is the market favorite at 34%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $131.2M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next French Presidential Election?
$131.2M has been traded on this market in total, including $915K in the last 24 hours, with $15.8M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next French Presidential Election resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next French Presidential Election resolve?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,
Where can I bet on Next French Presidential Election?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.