Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
As of today the market prices Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026 at 34% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? odds
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026??
The market currently prices this at 34% (34¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? is the market favorite at 34%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3.6M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026??
$3.6M has been traded on this market in total, including $20K in the last 24 hours, with $413K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? resolve?
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition t
Where can I bet on Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.