JD Vance leads at 20% across 50 outcomes, with $672.0M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Presidential Election Winner 2028?
Current odds: JD Vance 20%, Gavin Newsom 12%, Marco Rubio 12%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%, Jon Ossoff 9%, Kamala Harris 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Presidential Election Winner 2028?
JD Vance is the market favorite at 20%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $672.0M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Presidential Election Winner 2028?
$672.0M has been traded on this market in total, including $462K in the last 24 hours, with $51.5M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Presidential Election Winner 2028 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Presidential Election Winner 2028 resolve?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Where can I bet on Presidential Election Winner 2028?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.