As of today the market prices Los Angeles Mayoral Election at 66% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
The market currently prices this at 66% (66¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Karen Bass is the market favorite at 66%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $13.6M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
$13.6M has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $236K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Los Angeles Mayoral Election resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Los Angeles Mayoral Election resolve?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Where can I bet on Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.