Polymarket 科技预测

Polymarket 的科技市场：AI 模型发布与基准测试结果、产品上线、IPO、并购与高管变动。

AI 相关市场是平台上变动最快的一类——实验室发布公告或基准成绩泄露后，价格往往在几分钟内就完成重定价。

Polymarket 科技预测

• Largest Company end of July? — Apple 79% · $326K volume
• Largest Company end of December 2026? — NVIDIA 50% · $150K volume
• Largest Company end of August? — Company A 50% · $135K volume
• Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut? — 1470+ 100% · $71K volume
• 2nd Largest Company end of July? — NVIDIA 78% · $58K volume
• Which company has best AI model end of August? — Anthropic 90% · $41K volume
• Best AI model on August 1? — Other 98% · $33K volume
• Which company has best AI model end of July? — Anthropic 99% · $30K volume
• 3rd Largest Company end of August? — Alphabet 82% · $28K volume
• Best Chinese AI Company end of July? — Alibaba 85% · $27K volume
• GPT-6 released by…? — December 31, 2026 89% · $25K volume
• Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August? — Moonshot 76% · $25K volume
• 3rd Largest Company end of July? — Alphabet 99% · $25K volume
• 2nd Largest Company end of August? — Apple 50% · $21K volume
• Best AI model on August 10? — Other 97% · $17K volume
• Which company has the best AI Agent end of August? — Anthropic 77% · $16K volume
• What will Boeing say during their next earnings call? — Program 99% · $15K volume
• Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31? — $0.70-$0.80T 51% · $15K volume
• Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July? — Anthropic 95% · $13K volume
• Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30? — 1510 100% · $13K volume
• # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026? — 4 58% · $13K volume
• What will PayPal say during their next earnings call? — Transaction 5+ times 99% · $9K volume
• What will Procter & Gamble say during their next earnings call? — Category 98% · $9K volume
• GPU rental prices (H200) end of July? — $5.00-$6.00 85% · $9K volume
• Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31? — 1560 49% · $7K volume

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