Polymarket 加密货币预测
Polymarket 上的加密市场：按日期设定的比特币与以太坊价格目标、小时级与日级涨跌市场、ETF 决议、交易所上币与协议升级。
由于这些市场依据公开价格源结算，它们最真实地反映了交易者的实际预期：「BTC 站上 15 万美元」标价 30%，是一个可交易的概率，而不是文章里的观点。
Polymarket 加密货币预测
- What price will Bitcoin hit in July? — ↑ 65,000 100% · $1.3M volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on July 28? — 56,000 100% · $939K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit in July? — ↑ 1,900 100% · $435K volume
- Ethereum above ___ on July 28? — 1,400 100% · $138K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? — ↑ 1,750 100% · $118K volume
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28? — 6% · $111K volume
- What price will Solana hit in July? — ↑ 80 100% · $90K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on July 29? — 56,000 100% · $89K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? — ↓ 60,000 100% · $87K volume
- Bitcoin price on July 28? — 62,000-64,000 83% · $70K volume
- What price will XRP hit in July? — ↓ 1.00 30% · $62K volume
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? — 37% · $55K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit July 27-August 2? — ↓ 62,000 59% · $47K volume
- GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $50M 99% · $42K volume
- Ethereum Up or Down on July 28? — 4% · $30K volume
- Ethereum above ___ on July 31? — 1,400 99% · $27K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on July 30? — 54,000 100% · $19K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit on July 28? — ↓ 63,000 64% · $17K volume
- Ethereum above ___ on July 29? — 1,400 100% · $17K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 1? — 54,000 100% · $16K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on July 31? — 54,000 100% · $15K volume
- Solana price on July 28? — 70-80 99% · $14K volume
- XRP above ___ on July 28? — 0.70 100% · $11K volume
- Solana above ___ on July 28? — 30 100% · $11K volume
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET — 12% · $11K volume
浏览全部 Polymarket 市场 →
Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket 的Crypto赔率是怎么运作的？
- 每个结果都是一份在 1 至 99 美分之间交易的份额，价格即隐含概率。40 美分意味着交易者整体认为该结果有 40% 的可能；一旦发生，份额按 1.00 美元支付。
- Polymarket 的Crypto赔率准确吗？
- 它们反映的是真实承担风险的资金而非观点，历史上校准度很高。但这仍是动态预测而非保证，成交清淡的市场可能被单个大户推动——参考价格前请先看成交量一栏。
- 这些赔率多久更新一次？
- 持续更新。价格直接来自 Polymarket 公开 API，随成交实时刷新，缓存约 30 秒。
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