Polymarket 加密货币预测
Polymarket 上的加密市场：按日期设定的比特币与以太坊价格目标、小时级与日级涨跌市场、ETF 决议、交易所上币与协议升级。
由于这些市场依据公开价格源结算，它们最真实地反映了交易者的实际预期：「BTC 站上 15 万美元」标价 30%，是一个可交易的概率，而不是文章里的观点。
Polymarket 加密货币预测
- What price will Bitcoin hit in October? — ↑ 85,000 100% · $562K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit on October 26? — ↑ 80,000 100% · $248K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? — ↓ 60,000 100% · $238K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on October 27? — 72,000 100% · $209K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit on October 26? — ↓ 2,300 100% · $125K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit in October? — ↓ 2,700 100% · $120K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? — ↑ 2,750 100% · $87K volume
- What price will XRP hit in October? — ↓ 1.40 100% · $81K volume
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? — 4% · $71K volume
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $50M 99% · $54K volume
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___? — December 31, 2027 100% · $53K volume
- Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale — $10M 92% · $37K volume
- Bitcoin price on October 27? — 80,000-82,000 49% · $31K volume
- Ethereum above ___ on October 27? — 1,900 100% · $31K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on October 28? — 74,000 99% · $30K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1? — ↓ 80,000 94% · $26K volume
- What price will Solana hit in October? — ↑ 120 100% · $24K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on October 29? — 72,000 99% · $16K volume
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $100M 98% · $15K volume
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET — 31% · $14K volume
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $150M 78% · $13K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit October 26-November 1? — ↓ 2,300 86% · $11K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on October 30? — 72,000 99% · $10K volume
- Ethereum above ___ on October 30? — 1,900 98% · $10K volume
- Bitcoin price on October 28? — 80,000-82,000 35% · $10K volume
浏览全部 Polymarket 市场 →
Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket 的Crypto赔率是怎么运作的？
- 每个结果都是一份在 1 至 99 美分之间交易的份额，价格即隐含概率。40 美分意味着交易者整体认为该结果有 40% 的可能；一旦发生，份额按 1.00 美元支付。
- Polymarket 的Crypto赔率准确吗？
- 它们反映的是真实承担风险的资金而非观点，历史上校准度很高。但这仍是动态预测而非保证，成交清淡的市场可能被单个大户推动——参考价格前请先看成交量一栏。
- 这些赔率多久更新一次？
- 持续更新。价格直接来自 Polymarket 公开 API，随成交实时刷新，缓存约 30 秒。
按类别查看赔率
Politics · Elections · US Election · Geopolitics · Bitcoin · Sports · Economics · Tech · Pop Culture · NFL · NBA · MLB · Soccer · Tennis · UFC · Formula 1 · Ethereum · Solana · XRP · AI · OpenAI · Fed · Inflation · Earnings · Business · Trump · Middle East · Israel · Ukraine · Russia · China · Venezuela · Weather · Science · Movies · Awards · Music · Celebrities