Polymarket 加密货币预测
Polymarket 上的加密市场：按日期设定的比特币与以太坊价格目标、小时级与日级涨跌市场、ETF 决议、交易所上币与协议升级。
由于这些市场依据公开价格源结算，它们最真实地反映了交易者的实际预期：「BTC 站上 15 万美元」标价 30%，是一个可交易的概率，而不是文章里的观点。
Polymarket 加密货币预测
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11? — 70,000 100% · $1.4M volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? — ↓ 60,000 100% · $635K volume
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? — 18% · $504K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September? — ↑ 80,000 100% · $447K volume
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11? — 2,000 100% · $287K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13? — ↓ 78,000 100% · $202K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12? — 70,000 100% · $158K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit September 7-13? — ↑ 2,500 100% · $129K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit in September? — ↑ 2,500 100% · $110K volume
- Bitcoin price on September 11? — 76,000-78,000 64% · $107K volume
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? — 71% · $72K volume
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 11? — ↑ 78,000 100% · $69K volume
- What price will Solana hit in September? — ↓ 100 100% · $52K volume
- Ethereum price on September 11? — 2,500-2,600 51% · $49K volume
- What price will $LAPTOP hit in September? — ↓ 1.00 100% · $41K volume
- Ethereum Up or Down on September 11? — 94% · $34K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14? — 70,000 99% · $33K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 13? — 70,000 99% · $31K volume
- Ethereum above ___ on September 12? — 2,000 99% · $29K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 15? — 68,000 98% · $29K volume
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 16? — 68,000 99% · $28K volume
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET? — None by December 25, 2026 86% · $24K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? — ↑ 2,500 100% · $23K volume
- Bitcoin all time high by ___? — December 31, 2026 8% · $22K volume
- What price will Ethereum hit on September 11? — ↑ 2,500 100% · $17K volume
浏览全部 Polymarket 市场 →
Frequently Asked Questions
- Polymarket 的Crypto赔率是怎么运作的？
- 每个结果都是一份在 1 至 99 美分之间交易的份额，价格即隐含概率。40 美分意味着交易者整体认为该结果有 40% 的可能；一旦发生，份额按 1.00 美元支付。
- Polymarket 的Crypto赔率准确吗？
- 它们反映的是真实承担风险的资金而非观点，历史上校准度很高。但这仍是动态预测而非保证，成交清淡的市场可能被单个大户推动——参考价格前请先看成交量一栏。
- 这些赔率多久更新一次？
- 持续更新。价格直接来自 Polymarket 公开 API，随成交实时刷新，缓存约 30 秒。
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