Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M leads at 98% across 10 outcomes, with $3.7M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
$100M98%98¢$83K
$200M95%95¢$80K
$300M93%93¢$281K
$500M89%89¢$1.0M
$800M72%72¢$521K
$1B56%56¢$846K
$2B26%26¢$439K
$3B12%12¢$145K
$4B6%6¢$181K
$5B3%3¢$104K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??
Current odds: $100M 98%, $200M 95%, $300M 93%, $500M 89%, $800M 72%, $1B 56%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M is the market favorite at 98%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3.7M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??
$3.7M has been traded on this market in total, including $15K in the last 24 hours, with $415K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Where can I bet on Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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