Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
No second mandate leads at 50% across 21 outcomes, with $5K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government? odds
Legislative elections were held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the second individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election.
Extensions of the first individual's mandate will not count as a second mandate. If the first individual is tasked with forming a government again, including via a petition of 61 members of the Knesset, this will not count; only a mandate given to a different individual will count as the second mandate.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no second individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”.
If the Knesset is dissolved or new elections are called before a second individual is tasked with forming a government, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government??
Current odds: No second mandate 50%, Benjamin Netanyahu 48%, Yair Golan 5%, Gadi Eizenkot 4%, Yossi Cohen 4%, Naftali Bennett 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
No second mandate is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $5K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government??
$5K has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $8K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government? resolve?
Legislative elections were held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the second individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election.
Extensions of the first individual's mandate will not count as a second mandate. If the first individual is tasked with forming a government again, including via a petition of 61 members of the Knesset, this will not count; only a mandate given to a different individual will count as the second mandate.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President b
Where can I bet on Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.