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Biggest Polymarket Moves
Prediction market prices move when news lands. This page lists the markets whose odds changed the most, split into what went up and what went down, among the most traded markets of the day.
A move of 10 points means the chance went from, say, 40% to 50%. Thin markets that tick a cent up and down are left out: every market here traded at least $10,000 today.
Biggest moves in the last 24 hours Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? — 78% chance, +42 pts todayIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? — 56% chance, +10 pts todayPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? — 33% chance, −9 pts todayWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? — 31% chance, −8 pts todayIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? — 85% chance, +7 pts todaySpurs vs. Trail Blazers — 66% chance, +5 pts todaySpread: Florida (-5.5) — 47% chance, −4 pts todayWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? — 60% chance, +4 pts todayWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07? — 54% chance, −4 pts todayWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? — 12% chance, +4 pts todayWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — 18% chance, −4 pts todayWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? — 85% chance, −3 pts todayWill AS Roma win on 2026-11-07? — 73% chance, −3 pts todayWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? — 68% chance, −3 pts todayWill Gen.G win Worlds 2026? — 52% chance, −2 pts today