Mary Peltola leads at 67% across 6 outcomes, with $481K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Alaska Senate Election Winner?
Current odds: Mary Peltola 67%, Sen. Dan Sullivan 34%, Ann Diener 0%, Dustin Darden 0%, Richard Grayson 0%, David Leslie 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Alaska Senate Election Winner?
Mary Peltola is the market favorite at 67%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $481K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Alaska Senate Election Winner?
$481K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $178K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Alaska Senate Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Alaska Senate Election Winner resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Where can I bet on Alaska Senate Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.