John Thune leads at 93% across 9 outcomes, with $40K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next US Senate Minority Leader??
Current odds: John Thune 93%, John Barrasso 3%, Tom Cotton 1%, Patty Murray 1%, Rick Scott 1%, Chuck Schumer 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next US Senate Minority Leader?
John Thune is the market favorite at 93%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $40K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next US Senate Minority Leader??
$40K has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $97K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next US Senate Minority Leader? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next US Senate Minority Leader? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Next US Senate Minority Leader?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.