Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
As of today the market prices Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) at 98% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) odds
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)?
The market currently prices this at 98% (98¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)?
None is the market favorite at 98%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $78.4M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)?
$78.4M has been traded on this market in total, including $69K in the last 24 hours, with $333K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) resolve?
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its resu
Where can I bet on Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.