Abiy Ahmed leads at 96% across 8 outcomes, with $266.9M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia??
Current odds: Abiy Ahmed 96%, Gedion Timothewos 2%, Belete Molla 1%, Demeke Mekonnen 1%, Shimelis Abdisa 1%, Berhanu Nega 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $266.9M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia??
$266.9M has been traded on this market in total, including $926K in the last 24 hours, with $82K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? resolve?
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may al
Where can I bet on Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.