As of today the market prices MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner at 63% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
The market currently prices this at 63% (63¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
Wesley Bell is the market favorite at 63%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $123K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
$123K has been traded on this market in total, including $18K in the last 24 hours, with $33K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Where can I bet on MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.