Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Abdul El-Sayed leads at 72% across 9 outcomes, with $1.4M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Abdul El-Sayed72%72¢$481K
Haley Stevens30%30¢$344K
Mallory McMorrow0%$94K
Dana Nessel0%$54K
Rashida Tlaib0%$59K
Sarah Anthony0%$34K
Kristen McDonald Rivet0%$139K
Andy Levin0%$32K
Matt Sahr0%$115K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
Current odds: Abdul El-Sayed 72%, Haley Stevens 30%, Mallory McMorrow 0%, Dana Nessel 0%, Rashida Tlaib 0%, Sarah Anthony 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
Abdul El-Sayed is the market favorite at 72%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.4M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
$1.4M has been traded on this market in total, including $30K in the last 24 hours, with $244K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Where can I bet on Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related us election markets

All US Election markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.