Nigel Farage leads at 96% across 52 outcomes, with $2.9M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Clacton by-election Winner?
Current odds: Nigel Farage 96%, Person D 50%, Person E 50%, Person F 50%, Person G 50%, Person H 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Clacton by-election Winner?
Nigel Farage is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.9M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Clacton by-election Winner?
$2.9M has been traded on this market in total, including $62K in the last 24 hours, with $427K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Clacton by-election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 13, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Clacton by-election Winner resolve?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Where can I bet on Clacton by-election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.