Under 45 leads at 38% across 6 outcomes, with $4K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee??
Current odds: Under 45 38%, 55-64 37%, 45-54 30%, 65-74 10%, 85+ 6%, 75-84 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Under 45 is the market favorite at 38%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $4K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee??
$4K has been traded on this market in total, with $14K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of
Where can I bet on Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.