2026 Midterms: House Turnout

120-125m leads at 94% across 11 outcomes, with $72K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
120-125m94%94¢$19K
115-120m5%5¢$19K
125-130m1%1¢$9K
<85m0%0¢$971
85-90m0%0¢$1K
90-95m0%0¢$3K
95-100m0%0¢$1K
100-105m0%0¢$2K
105-110m0%0¢$2K
110-115m0%0¢$9K
130m+0%0¢$7K

Market details

Resolution rules

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
Current odds: 120-125m 94%, 115-120m 5%, 125-130m 1%, <85m 0%, 85-90m 0%, 90-95m 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
120-125m is the market favorite at 94%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $72K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
$72K has been traded on this market in total, including $3K in the last 24 hours, with $101K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does 2026 Midterms: House Turnout resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does 2026 Midterms: House Turnout resolve?
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM E
Where can I bet on 2026 Midterms: House Turnout?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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