Lin Kuo-chang leads at 66% across 4 outcomes, with $15K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner?
Current odds: Lin Kuo-chang 66%, Wu Tsung-hsien 35%, Chen Wan-hui 2%, Chang Sheng-te 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner?
Lin Kuo-chang is the market favorite at 66%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $15K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner?
$15K has been traded on this market in total, including $3 in the last 24 hours, with $74K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 29, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner resolve?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifi
Where can I bet on Yilan County Magistrate Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.