Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
As of today the market prices Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027 at 4% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? odds
Outcome
Chance
Price
Volume
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027??
The market currently prices this at 4% (4¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? is the market favorite at 4%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $93K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027??
$93K has been traded on this market in total, including $77 in the last 24 hours, with $17K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the
Where can I bet on Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.