Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

As of today the market prices Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election at 59% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Democratic59%59¢$882K
Republican41%41¢$1.1M

Market details

Resolution rules

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??
The market currently prices this at 59% (59¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic is the market favorite at 59%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.9M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??
$1.9M has been traded on this market in total, including $6K in the last 24 hours, with $831K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? resolve?
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Where can I bet on Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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