Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland leads at 24% across 12 outcomes, with $1.3M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??
Current odds: Somaliland 24%, Qatar 12%, Syria 12%, Saudi Arabia 12%, Kuwait 11%, Lebanon 10%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland is the market favorite at 24%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.3M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027??
$1.3M has been traded on this market in total, including $142K in the last 24 hours, with $61K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.