Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat?

As of today the market prices Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat at 41% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat?41%41¢$937

Market details

Resolution rules

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canarian Coalition (CCa) wins at least one seat in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. Any other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies. Electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat??
The market currently prices this at 41% (41¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat?
Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat? is the market favorite at 41%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $937 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat??
$937 has been traded on this market in total, including $713 in the last 24 hours, with $82 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat? resolve?
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canarian Coalition (CCa) wins at least one seat in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows
Where can I bet on Spain General Election: CCa wins a seat?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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