Spain General Election: Álava Winner

PSOE leads at 71% across 7 outcomes, with $9K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Spain General Election: Álava Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
PSOE71%71¢$3K
EH Bildu25%25¢$1K
PP3%3¢$996
PNV2%2¢$962
Broad Front (FA)1%1¢$896
Vox0%0¢$1K
Podemos0%0¢$842

Market details

Resolution rules

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Álava, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. Any other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies. Electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Spain General Election: Álava Winner?
Current odds: PSOE 71%, EH Bildu 25%, PP 3%, PNV 2%, Broad Front (FA) 1%, Vox 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Spain General Election: Álava Winner?
PSOE is the market favorite at 71%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $9K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Spain General Election: Álava Winner?
$9K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $22K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Spain General Election: Álava Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Spain General Election: Álava Winner resolve?
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Álava as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Álava, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number
Where can I bet on Spain General Election: Álava Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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