Lee Fairclough leads at 66% across 5 outcomes, with $20K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner odds
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner?
Current odds: Lee Fairclough 66%, Navdeep Bains 34%, Stephanie Bowman 2%, Eric Lombardi 0%, Dylan Marando 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner?
Lee Fairclough is the market favorite at 66%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $20K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner?
$20K has been traded on this market in total, including $350 in the last 24 hours, with $56K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner resolve?
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official
Where can I bet on Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.