Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Mohammed Umaru Bago leads at 73% across 3 outcomes, with $5K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Mohammed Umaru Bago73%73¢$5K
Mohammed Kpautagi21%21¢$91
Abubakar Suleiman9%9¢$141

Market details

Resolution rules

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?
Current odds: Mohammed Umaru Bago 73%, Mohammed Kpautagi 21%, Abubakar Suleiman 9%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?
Mohammed Umaru Bago is the market favorite at 73%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $5K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?
$5K has been traded on this market in total, with $8K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 7, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner resolve?
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitu
Where can I bet on Niger, Nigeria Governor Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related elections markets

All Elections markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.