Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 88% across 20 outcomes, with $3.0M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of Spain??
Current odds: Alberto Núñez Feijóo 88%, Pedro Sánchez 11%, Santiago Abascal 1%, María Jesús Montero 0%, Yolanda Díaz 0%, Ernest Urtasun 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo is the market favorite at 88%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3.0M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Prime Minister of Spain??
$3.0M has been traded on this market in total, including $71K in the last 24 hours, with $2.1M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Prime Minister of Spain? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Prime Minister of Spain? resolve?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however
Where can I bet on Next Prime Minister of Spain?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.