Jess Wilson leads at 94% across 15 outcomes, with $43K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Premier of Victoria?
Current odds: Jess Wilson 94%, Ben Carroll 3%, Sonya Kilkenny 3%, Warren Pickering 3%, Danny O'Brien 2%, Gabrielle Williams 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Premier of Victoria?
Jess Wilson is the market favorite at 94%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $43K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Premier of Victoria?
$43K has been traded on this market in total, with $240K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Premier of Victoria resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 29, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Premier of Victoria resolve?
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; howeve
Where can I bet on Next Premier of Victoria?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.