June 30, 2027 leads at 82% across 4 outcomes, with $209K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.
Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Israeli government formed by...??
Current odds: June 30, 2027 82%, February 28, 2027 70%, December 31, 2026 39%, November 30, 2026 21%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Israeli government formed by...?
June 30, 2027 is the market favorite at 82%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $209K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Israeli government formed by...??
$209K has been traded on this market in total, including $31K in the last 24 hours, with $94K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Israeli government formed by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Israeli government formed by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe.
Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesse
Where can I bet on Next Israeli government formed by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.