Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen leads at 91% across 37 outcomes, with $539K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? odds
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round??
Current odds: Marine Le Pen 91%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 49%, Édouard Philippe 19%, David Lisnard 18%, Christine Lagarde 14%, Jordan Bardella 8%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen is the market favorite at 91%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $539K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round??
$539K has been traded on this market in total, including $3K in the last 24 hours, with $422K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on April 19, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? resolve?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resol
Where can I bet on Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.