No Next Chancellor before 2028 leads at 67% across 13 outcomes, with $139K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.
This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.
To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028??
Current odds: No Next Chancellor before 2028 67%, Hendrik Wüst 14%, Markus Söder 11%, Carsten Linnemann 4%, Alice Weidel 4%, Boris Pistorius 4%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028 is the market favorite at 67%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $139K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028??
$139K has been traded on this market in total, including $236 in the last 24 hours, with $356K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? resolve?
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.
This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.
To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundesta
Where can I bet on Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.