Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?
Wellington César Lima e Silva leads at 25% across 6 outcomes, with $4K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security? odds
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security (Ministro da Justiça e Segurança Pública) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Justice and Public Security at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice and Public Security will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice and Public Security” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.
If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice and Public Security are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no such Minister of Justice and Public Security assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security??
Current odds: Wellington César Lima e Silva 25%, Camilo Santana 24%, Ricardo Lewandowski 22%, Fernando Haddad 21%, Márcio França 3%, Jaques Wagner 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?
Wellington César Lima e Silva is the market favorite at 25%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $4K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security??
$4K has been traded on this market in total, including $420 in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security? resolve?
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security (Ministro da Justiça e Segurança Pública) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Justice and Public Security at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice and Public Security will not count toward the resolution of this marke
Where can I bet on Next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.