Mauro Vieira leads at 43% across 6 outcomes, with $3K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs (Ministro das Relações Exteriores) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Foreign Affairs at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Foreign Affairs” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.
If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Foreign Affairs are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no such Minister of Foreign Affairs assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs??
Current odds: Mauro Vieira 43%, Aloizio Mercadante 30%, Celso Amorim 7%, Maria Laura da Rocha 5%, Jaques Wagner 5%, Fernando Haddad 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Mauro Vieira is the market favorite at 43%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs??
$3K has been traded on this market in total, including $10 in the last 24 hours, with $3K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? resolve?
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs (Ministro das Relações Exteriores) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Foreign Affairs at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes off
Where can I bet on Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.