Green Party leads at 99% across 6 outcomes, with $71K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
Current odds: Green Party 99%, ACT New Zealand 1%, National Party 0%, Labour Party 0%, New Zealand First Party 0%, Te Pāti Māori 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
Green Party is the market favorite at 99%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $71K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
$71K has been traded on this market in total, including $20K in the last 24 hours, with $76K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does New Zealand Election: 3rd Place resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does New Zealand Election: 3rd Place resolve?
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broke
Where can I bet on New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.