As of today the market prices KY-01 House Election Winner at 95% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for KY-01 House Election Winner?
The market currently prices this at 95% (95¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will KY-01 House Election Winner?
Republican Party is the market favorite at 95%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $35K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on KY-01 House Election Winner?
$35K has been traded on this market in total, including $6K in the last 24 hours, with $36K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does KY-01 House Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does KY-01 House Election Winner resolve?
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time
Where can I bet on KY-01 House Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.