Chen Yu-jen leads at 98% across 4 outcomes, with $14K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner?
Current odds: Chen Yu-jen 98%, Li Wen-liang 3%, Liang Wen-tao 2%, Yang Cheng-wu 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner?
Chen Yu-jen is the market favorite at 98%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $14K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner?
$14K has been traded on this market in total, with $44K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 29, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner resolve?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specif
Where can I bet on Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.