How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win?

≥12 leads at 37% across 8 outcomes, with $677 traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
≥1237%37¢$60
631%31¢$94
731%31¢$80
829%29¢$120
928%28¢$80
1022%22¢$100
1116%16¢$80
≤510%10¢$63

Market details

Resolution rules

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Magistrate elections for Taiwan’s special municipalities, counties, and cities won by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County If the results of the 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win??
Current odds: ≥12 37%, 6 31%, 7 31%, 8 29%, 9 28%, 10 22%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win?
≥12 is the market favorite at 37%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $677 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win??
$677 has been traded on this market in total, including $40 in the last 24 hours, with $3K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 29, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win? resolve?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Magistrate elections for Taiwan’s special municipalities, counties, and cities won by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei C
Where can I bet on How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will DPP win?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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