Fernando Dias da Costa leads at 9% across 12 outcomes, with $357K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election?
Current odds: Fernando Dias da Costa 9%, Umaro Sissoco Embaló 4%, Honório Augusto Lopes 4%, João Bernardo Vieira 2%, Mário da Silva Júnior 2%, Siga Batista 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election?
Fernando Dias da Costa is the market favorite at 9%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $357K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election?
$357K has been traded on this market in total, including $220 in the last 24 hours, with $122K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 24, 2025. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election resolve?
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guine
Where can I bet on Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.