Guanajuato Congress Election Winner

PAN leads at 78% across 6 outcomes, with $11K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Guanajuato Congress Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
PAN78%78¢$3K
Morena21%21¢$3K
PVEM2%2¢$3K
MC2%2¢$935
PRI1%1¢$713
PT0%0¢$876

Market details

Resolution rules

Legislative elections to elect the 36 members of the Congress of the State of Guanajuato are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Guanajuato as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Guanajuato and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato (https://ieeg.mx/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Guanajuato Congress Election Winner?
Current odds: PAN 78%, Morena 21%, PVEM 2%, MC 2%, PRI 1%, PT 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Guanajuato Congress Election Winner?
PAN is the market favorite at 78%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $11K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Guanajuato Congress Election Winner?
$11K has been traded on this market in total, including $30 in the last 24 hours, with $31K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Guanajuato Congress Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 7, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Guanajuato Congress Election Winner resolve?
Legislative elections to elect the 36 members of the Congress of the State of Guanajuato are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Guanajuato as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This m
Where can I bet on Guanajuato Congress Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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