Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Bev Craig leads at 100% across 51 outcomes, with $370K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Bev Craig100%100¢$218K
Person F50%50¢
Person G50%50¢
Person H50%50¢
Person I50%50¢
Person J50%50¢
Person K50%50¢
Person L50%50¢
Person M50%50¢
Person N50%50¢
Person O50%50¢
Person P50%50¢
Person Q50%50¢
Person R50%50¢
Person S50%50¢

36 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner?
Current odds: Bev Craig 100%, Person F 50%, Person G 50%, Person H 50%, Person I 50%, Person J 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner?
Bev Craig is the market favorite at 100%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $370K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner?
$370K has been traded on this market in total, including $15K in the last 24 hours, with $513K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner resolve?
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelect
Where can I bet on Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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