Gambia Presidential Election Winner

Adama Barrow leads at 73% across 7 outcomes, with $17K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Gambia Presidential Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Adama Barrow73%73¢$10K
Ousainou Darboe22%22¢$3K
Bakary K. Badjie4%4¢$329
Talib Ahmed Bensouda1%1¢$2K
Essa Faal1%1¢$716
Mama Kandeh0%0¢$991
Mohamed Al Amin Bah0%0¢$369

Market details

Resolution rules

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Gambia Presidential Election Winner?
Current odds: Adama Barrow 73%, Ousainou Darboe 22%, Bakary K. Badjie 4%, Talib Ahmed Bensouda 1%, Essa Faal 1%, Mama Kandeh 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Gambia Presidential Election Winner?
Adama Barrow is the market favorite at 73%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $17K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Gambia Presidential Election Winner?
$17K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $53K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Gambia Presidential Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 5, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Gambia Presidential Election Winner resolve?
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Where can I bet on Gambia Presidential Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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