French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads at 30% across 16 outcomes, with $43K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place odds
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
Current odds: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 30%, Édouard Philippe 28%, Raphaël Glucksmann 17%, David Lisnard 15%, Marine Le Pen 5%, Christine Lagarde 4%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon is the market favorite at 30%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $43K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
$43K has been traded on this market in total, including $45 in the last 24 hours, with $182K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on April 18, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
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Where can I bet on French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.