French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?

Bruno Retailleau leads at 35% across 18 outcomes, with $8K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Bruno Retailleau35%35¢$854
Raphaël Glucksmann26%26¢$513
David Lisnard25%25¢$929
Édouard Philippe20%20¢$399
Dominique de Villepin6%6¢$354
Jean-Luc Mélenchon5%5¢$267
François Hollande3%3¢$502
Marine Le Pen1%1¢$329
Jordan Bardella1%1¢$391
Gabriel Attal1%1¢$456
Fabien Roussel1%1¢$331
Marine Tondelier1%1¢$387
François Ruffin1%1¢$350
Éric Zemmour1%1¢$284
Sarah Knafo1%1¢$293

3 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. To appear on the ballot, candidates must be presented by at least 500 eligible elected officials (“parrainages”), whose presentations are validated and published by the French Constitutional Council. The deadline for submitting presentations is currently expected to be March 12, 2027, at 6:00 PM local time. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid presentations (parrainages) from elected officials for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, according to the final tally published by the French Constitutional Council. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If no final tally of valid presentations is published by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials??
Current odds: Bruno Retailleau 35%, Raphaël Glucksmann 26%, David Lisnard 25%, Édouard Philippe 20%, Dominique de Villepin 6%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?
Bruno Retailleau is the market favorite at 35%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $8K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials??
$8K has been traded on this market in total, with $43K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 13, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials? resolve?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. To appear on the ballot, candidates must be presented by at least 500 eligible elected officials (“parrainages”), whose presentations are validated and published by the French Constitutional Council. The deadline for submitting presentations is currently expected to be March 12, 2027, at 6:00 PM local time. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid presentations (parrainages) from elected officials for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, according to the final tally published by the French Constitutional Council. In the event of a t
Where can I bet on French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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